Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal Poly
Big West
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#132
Expected Predictive Rating+1.8#144
Pace55.5#343
Improvement+4.3#31

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#77
Improvement-0.4#185

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#211
Improvement+4.6#13
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 254   @ TCU L 46-53 67%     0 - 1 -9.1 -15.1 +4.5
  Nov 15, 2012 251   Northern Colorado W 64-53 85%     1 - 1 +2.5 -8.1 +12.0
  Nov 19, 2012 99   Fresno St. L 67-76 53%     1 - 2 -7.5 +5.9 -14.3
  Nov 25, 2012 40   @ UCLA W 70-68 14%     2 - 2 +15.8 +9.5 +6.5
  Dec 01, 2012 23   @ St. Mary's L 68-86 10%     2 - 3 -1.9 +17.0 -23.5
  Dec 11, 2012 149   @ Nevada L 56-69 43%     2 - 4 -8.9 -16.5 +7.6
  Dec 17, 2012 81   @ Santa Clara L 64-72 26%     2 - 5 +1.0 +4.4 -4.7
  Dec 20, 2012 77   @ Washington L 62-75 24%     2 - 6 -3.4 -0.6 -3.8
  Dec 29, 2012 291   @ UC Riverside W 58-48 76%     3 - 6 1 - 0 +4.9 -5.9 +12.0
  Jan 03, 2013 142   Long Beach St. W 79-73 65%     4 - 6 2 - 0 +4.4 +7.6 -2.9
  Jan 05, 2013 135   UC Irvine W 72-67 63%     5 - 6 3 - 0 +3.9 +7.7 -3.2
  Jan 10, 2013 199   @ UC Davis L 67-69 53%     5 - 7 3 - 1 -0.5 -2.7 +2.1
  Jan 12, 2013 115   @ Pacific L 55-77 33%     5 - 8 3 - 2 -15.3 -1.9 -19.1
  Jan 19, 2013 205   @ UC Santa Barbara L 81-83 2OT 55%     5 - 9 3 - 3 -0.9 +0.0 -0.6
  Jan 24, 2013 192   Hawaii W 88-59 74%     6 - 9 4 - 3 +24.5 +21.1 +6.7
  Jan 26, 2013 212   Cal St. Northridge W 75-64 78%     7 - 9 5 - 3 +5.2 -0.8 +6.4
  Jan 30, 2013 135   @ UC Irvine L 45-52 38%     7 - 10 5 - 4 -1.6 -11.0 +7.4
  Feb 02, 2013 142   @ Long Beach St. L 48-50 40%     7 - 11 5 - 5 +2.8 -13.3 +15.7
  Feb 07, 2013 115   Pacific W 67-62 58%     8 - 11 6 - 5 +5.3 +3.9 +2.2
  Feb 09, 2013 199   UC Davis W 68-53 76%     9 - 11 7 - 5 +10.1 +1.4 +11.2
  Feb 16, 2013 205   UC Santa Barbara W 67-49 77%     10 - 11 8 - 5 +12.7 +1.1 +13.7
  Feb 20, 2013 196   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 60-77 53%     10 - 12 8 - 6 -15.4 -11.3 -5.5
  Feb 23, 2013 207   Loyola Marymount W 63-60 77%     11 - 12 -2.5 +0.5 -2.5
  Feb 28, 2013 212   @ Cal St. Northridge W 81-61 56%     12 - 12 9 - 6 +20.7 +14.5 +8.3
  Mar 03, 2013 192   @ Hawaii W 64-61 51%     13 - 12 10 - 6 +5.0 +7.4 -1.7
  Mar 07, 2013 291   UC Riverside W 68-62 90%     14 - 12 11 - 6 -5.6 +9.3 -13.5
  Mar 09, 2013 196   Cal St. Fullerton W 62-60 75%     15 - 12 12 - 6 -2.8 -2.1 -0.3
  Mar 14, 2013 199   UC Davis W 64-41 65%     16 - 12 +21.3 -1.5 +26.7
  Mar 15, 2013 115   Pacific L 53-55 45%     16 - 13 +1.5 -7.3 +8.3
Projected Record 16.0 - 13.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%